The case for
Toronto Blue Jays
1.
Trey Yesavage brings a 3.16 ERA backed by elite home run suppression (2 HR allowed in 42.2 IP) that makes him tough to attack at Rogers Centre.
2.
Toronto's offense has shown life recently, going 3-2 in their last 5 with 6-run outbursts in back-to-back wins over Baltimore.
3.
The Blue Jays get the platoon advantage with righthander Yesavage facing a Yankees lineup missing their best right-handed bat in Aaron Judge.
The case for
New York Yankees
1.
Ryan Weathers' 3.86 ERA masks shakier underlying performance with his 4.19 xERA suggesting he's been getting lucky on contact.
2.
The Yankees offense averages over a run more per game (5.10 vs 4.07) with significantly more power (97 HR vs 65 HR) when healthy.
3.
Weathers has been inconsistent in his recent starts, alternating between dominant outings (7 IP, 0 ER vs Tampa Bay) and getting rocked (5 ER allowed in two of his last five).