The case for
Baltimore Orioles
1.
Bradish's 3.89 ERA masks serious control issues with a 1.51 WHIP and 36 walks in just 69.1 innings. His command problems make him vulnerable to big innings.
2.
Baltimore's offense has cratered in recent form, scoring just 22 runs over their last 7 games while going 2-5. They've been completely shut down by Seattle twice already this series.
3.
Camden Yards' 105 home run park factor should help Baltimore's power, but they've managed just 2 runs total in the first two games of this series despite the hitter-friendly environment.
The case for
Seattle Mariners
1.
Woo's 2.94 xERA suggests his 3.74 ERA is inflated by bad luck. His elite 1.00 WHIP and microscopic 14 walks in 77 innings show pinpoint command.
2.
Seattle has dominated this series with 10 runs in two games and enters on a hot streak, scoring 28 runs over their last 7 while going 5-2.
3.
The Mariners are getting excellent value with Woo, whose underlying metrics suggest he's pitching better than his surface numbers indicate.